Night Nurse data from Week 7 suggests that influenza cases are still increasing, with a steady rise since Week 1. This is confirmed by the CDC Week 6 report, which indicates the highest influenza levels reported so far this season. Both Night Nurse and CDC data suggest that we are likely at the peak levels of ILI this season and that levels will remain high for the next several weeks.
Week 7 indicates the highest ILI Activity so far this season from Night Nurse data, and previous week reports are now confirmed by the FluView Week 6 report, which shows the continued upward trend.
The CDC reports ILI (Influenza Like Illness) with High activity in 26 states, up from 24 states the previous week.
Moderate activity is now in 8 states and Low activity in 11 states.
DATA BASED ON NIGHT NURSE STATE WIDE REPORTING
Actual Night Nurse statistics from selected states:
Night Nurse data suggests that ILI reached its peak in New Hampshire around Week 5 and following 2-weeks of decline may be on the down-side of the bell-curve. Call volume, however, remains at peak levels. It is recommended to maintain staffing levels, until declines in both trends are more clearly evident.
Connecticut also appears to be at or just past the peak of ILI Activity, after declines of ILI, in the previous 2-weeks. The increase of call volume in Week 7 suggests that a second outbreak of ILI is taking place. Decreasing staffing levels should not be undertaken, until both ILI Activity and Call Volume trends suggest declines.
Massachusetts results indicate a rise in both ILI Activity and Call Volume for the last 2-weeks, since a dip in Week 5.
As ILI Activity is at or near the highest levels, this suggests that they are at the bell-curve peak. It is recommended to maintain current staffing levels, as a second wave of ILI may be present.
Texas data indicates ILI Activity is at peak levels while call volume has shown slight declines over the last 2-weeks. This suggests a resurgence of both ILI and non-ILI types and that staffing levels should be maintained, with additional on-call support, until new data suggests declines.
New York area results also indicate peak levels of ILI Activity and a rise in call volume after a decrease in the previous week. It is recommended to maintain current staffing levels.
California results indicate a continued rise in ILI Activity and call volume. There is still a steady increase in ILI Activity and these levels have now risen to the percentages seen in other tracked states. Call volume now appears to also be on the rise, so maintaining staffing levels is recommended
Of the after-hours ILI cases triaged by Night Nurse for the week ending February 16th (Week 7),
40.3% Were directed to PCP via appointment
43.2% were provided Home-care advice
16.5% were directed to be seen immediately
Night Nurse Total patient call volume Trend
This Call Volume Trend update is provided to show the percentage difference in weekly total after-hours call volume as compared to the seasonal low-volume baseline from August 2018.
Night Nurse closely tracks Total After-Hours triage call volume, as an overall indicator of the level of seasonal illness. The same six-states are tracked here.
After declines in most tracked states in Week 6, current Week 7 data shows sharp increases in call volume. With the increased spread of H3N2 now being indicated by the CDC, it is suggested that it is spreading beyond the South-Eastern part of the country and is now in the North-East and West-Coast.
All US regions suggest elevated ILI levels are still present.
I will update these statistics on a weekly basis for the duration of this flu season. If there are any statistics you would like to receive or a state you would like to have us focus for you, please send me a message on Linked-In or from the form on this webpage and I will try to accommodate you.
Feedback is welcome and encouraged. These statistics are for informational purposes only.
Chief Operations Officer
Night Nurse Inc.
508 650 0022